Did it work before? Historical records of market indicators — not forecasts.
0 = coldest, 100 = hottest, relative to this stock's past 5 years.
Averages over overlapping periods; a few large moves can dominate. Past records only.
Public SEC filings (Form 4 open-market purchases, Schedule 13D) around 17 volume spikes in the last 5 years.
Officers, directors and 10% owners bought shares on the open market 4 times; of the 4 with a full year of data, the price was higher one year later in 4.only 4 cases · inconclusive
Picking 4 random days at the usual rate (74%), all 4 would be higher about 30% of the time — too few cases to read much into.
Presutti (10% owner) bought $37.0M on the open market in 16 transactions.
3 months later +44% · 1 year later +29%
Historical record · not a forecast
Sales are mostly option exercises, taxes and pre-scheduled plans, so they are shown but not counted as a directional record.
17 spikes · up days 11 (1-yr median +57%) · down days 6 (1-yr median +5%) · any day +46%
| Date | Candle | Volume | 1 yr later | 1-yr high | 1-yr low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Down day | 7.4× | in progress | +39% | −32% |
| 2026-03-18 | Up day | 5.1× | in progress | +34% | −34% |
| 2025-01-06 | Down day | 6.1× | +5% | +35% | −33% |
| 2024-08-08 | Up day | 10.6× | +97% | +148% | −13% |
| 2024-06-28 | Up day | 5.4× | +91% | +129% | −20% |
| 2024-03-11 | Up day | 5.3× | +113% | +252% | −25% |
| 2023-09-12 | Up day | 7.5× | +47% | +87% | −30% |
| 2023-08-11 | Up day | 14.6× | +66% | +111% | −21% |
| 2023-06-23 | Up day | 5.6× | +174% | +215% | −8% |
| 2023-01-25 | Up day | 5.8× | +21% | +96% | −49% |
| 2022-12-16 | Up day | 7.3× | +47% | +113% | −44% |
| 2022-09-16 | Down day | 5.4× | +105% | +117% | −43% |
| 2022-06-24 | Down day | 7.4× | +40% | +77% | −27% |
| 2022-05-19 | Down day | 40.1× | −46% | +6% | −61% |
| 2022-02-11 | Up day | 9.1× | −63% | +11% | −76% |
| 2021-12-17 | Up day | 5.7× | −67% | +16% | −77% |
| 2021-10-07 | Down day | 7.1× | −72% | +51% | −82% |
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